Intelligence Feed
Developments across markets, platforms and regulation.
ExploreMulti-venue Event Pricing Feeds · EPF
360° Event Price Explorer
Cross-venue pricing information and research
Research & knowledgeThe Event-Pricing Feeds (EPF) provide access to information from different prediction exchanges. Together with the Minerva Knowledge Layer, they support research into events, contract prices and market developments in context.
Putting events, prices and expectations in context
Read market expectations
Contract prices offer insight into market participants’ assessments. Their significance depends on factors including contract rules, trading activity and liquidity.
Trace changes over time
Price histories show how market assessments change over time. The Intelligence Feed provides news and developments for further context.
Explore connections
HELIX Explorer, the taxonomy and the glossary provide further perspectives on events, products, market participants and terminology. Each venue’s feed remains a separate view.
swarmalpha EventScope · SWRM Storyboard: Midterms
swarmalpha EventScope · SWRM Storyboard: Midterms
360° EPF Integration
Model
Understand rules and assumptions.
Community
Put collective assessments in context.
Market
Read prices in the context of events.
Data & sources
The civic introduction draws on USAGov, Congress and the US Constitution. The research design provides for separate market observations from Kalshi and Polymarket; community signals form a distinct perspective.
The public introduction does not display live market data. Availability and data dates are identified in the relevant research view.
Research & knowledge
Detailed market data and scenarios are reserved for the research area, which requires registration.
New to prediction markets?
What if expectations had a price?
Weather, sport, politics: we all have ideas about what might happen next. How do those expectations become a market, and what can we learn from it? In a nutshell takes you from familiar everyday situations to the idea behind prediction markets. No prior knowledge needed.
About this information service
The venue-specific Event-Pricing Feeds (EPF) form part of swarmalpha’s information and research service. They make information about events, related contracts and their market prices accessible. The integrations promote transparency and provide opportunities for further research into prediction markets.
The Minerva Knowledge Layer takes a holistic 360° approach: market information is connected with knowledge about products, trading mechanisms, participants, regulation and historical developments. Its aim is to provide a broad foundation for independent research – DYOR · Do Your Own Research. Individual sections and data points should be considered in the context of the wider service and their respective sources.
Featuring or linking to a provider, venue or product does not constitute a recommendation, endorsement or invitation to use it. The content does not provide investment advice or instructions for trading or betting decisions and should not be interpreted as such. Market prices reflect assessments traded under particular market conditions; they are not certain predictions.
The 360° approach expresses a research ambition, not a promise of complete, continuously up-to-date or error-free information. Independent research should take account of sources, data dates, contract terms and regional restrictions.